Will We Face Global Warming in the Nearest Future?

V. S. Bashkirtsev and G. P. Mashnich

Institute of Solar–Terrestrial Physics, Siberian Division, Russian Academy of sciences,
P.O. Box 4026, Irkutsk, 664033 Russia.

Received January 11, 2001; in final form, August 28, 2002

Abstract—The data series of the Wolf numbers and surface air temperature over Irkutsk and the entire globe
from 1882 to date has been analyzed. The trends of the local (Irkutsk) and global (the entire Earth) temperatures
follow the trend of solar activity. A global fall of the surface temperature in the coming 25 years is predicted
based on close solar–terrestrial relations and on an anticipated decrease in solar activity by 2025.

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